August 31, 2004
Electoral Vote College: Bush Winning
Screenshots taken from one site that is openly pro-Bush, and another that is openly pro-Kerry. Dr. Chaos pointed these out to me.
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Update: Steve Green has been predicting this for some time, too.
Posted by: Rusty at
04:25 PM
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1
Rusty:
I'm pretty sure the lower one's wrong. It's sixteen votes short of a full load.
Posted by: Demosophist at August 31, 2004 05:54 PM (turqZ)
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That's because they have 'toss-up' category.
Posted by: RS at August 31, 2004 05:56 PM (JQjhA)
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Rusty,
Check out the following site: http://geekmedia.org/tradesports/
It keeps a running tally (updated every 3 hours) of the states based on how people are betting. Essentially it's like having the Iowa Political Markets broken down into 50 states.
PS: I bought 30 shares of Bush to win Missouri when it was at 55. It's over 60 now. 
Posted by: Senator PhilABuster at August 31, 2004 06:36 PM (yucew)
4
The Electoral College count I found earlier today had Bush at 300and Kerry at 238. Sorry, I didn't bookmark the url or I'd post it here.
Any of the three, or even an average of the three indicate things aren't going Kerry's way - and the EC is the poll that counts.
Posted by: Iornbear at August 31, 2004 10:14 PM (lKUxU)
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Man! I've *really* got to learn to preview when I find myself typoing my user-nick. ;]
Posted by: Ironbear at August 31, 2004 10:16 PM (lKUxU)
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Looks like my prediction is almost there - Bush winning with 49-53% of the popular vote and 300+ EC votes.
Posted by: Lethalox at September 01, 2004 11:09 AM (gIeuu)
7
The numbers are still way to close. That scares me. No one has ever asked me to poll so no one has the opinion of those in my household or even my neighbors and I can tell you they are voting for Bush. So how can the numbers be correct in any way?
~C
Posted by: firstbrokenangel at September 01, 2004 12:57 PM (D39Vm)
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firstbrokenangel,
Consider yourself lucky that when the doctors ask for a blood sample they don't take two quarts.
Posted by: M. Simon at September 01, 2004 02:56 PM (jODBk)
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