November 08, 2004

The Myth of The Supreme Court as Agent of Desegregation

It's not often that I get to respond directly to another blogger's post. But I just wanted to bitch slap some sense into the Smallholder (since the Maximum Leader seems to have so much restraint these days). His post reminds me of the old Maxim. No, not an old maxim, an old issue of Maxim which I am reminded of every time I make it over to his site. Now where was I? Oh, the notion that it was the courts that desegregated our nation. I can't blame the Smallholder for holding this clearly erroneous view of history. No, wait, sure I can. I blame the Smallholder for holding this clearly erroneous view of history. But I also blame our educational elite for promoting the myth of the court. more...

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Which Polls Called the Presidential Election Right?

Polipundit measures both variance and predictive accuracy among the Presidential election polls on a state by state basis. Excellent analysis. Which ones did the best? Surprisingly enough, the much acclaimed Zogby comes in sixth. Simon fills in the details on where Zogby missed and Randy has a few comments to add. With the two best being:

#2 - A close finish, but number two is Rasmussen Reports. RR made predictions in 33 states, and in 13 Battleground States. RR got all their calls correct, without a single miss, and they were off by an average of 5.82 points. What hurt them was their wide variance of accuracy in support. Three of their final polls were the closest for their state, but another 3 of their final polls were off by more than 10 points. In the Battleground States, RR got all 13 right, and they were off by an average of 4.15 points.

#1 - (drum roll, please) Survey USA. SUSA made predictions in 30 states, and in 9 Battleground States. SUSA got 29 right and 1 wrong, and was off by an average of 3.70 points. So, why does SUSA win with 29/30, and beat RR take second with 33/33? It comes down to hitting the bullseye. EIGHTEEN of Survey USAÂ’s final polls were the closest for that state, almost twice as many as every other major poll PUT TOGETHER! Also, none of their polls were invalidated for being more than 10 points off. In the Battleground States, SUSA got 8 right and 1 wrong, and was off by an average of 3.44 points. Three of SUSAÂ’s final polls in Battleground States were the closest for that state, again the best of any poll.

Hat tip:Bryan Scott over at Backcountry Conservative and Slings&Arrows.

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Khomeini Approves of Child Molestation/Beastiality??

I was checking out Aaron's Rantblog where he speculates on Arafat having AIDS, which would explain a whole lot of the mystery surrounding his illness. In that post he links to the Dr. Homa Darabi Foundation which claims to list a number of the odd writings of Ayatollah Khomeini. Look, I knew the guy was a psycopathic ideologue who was the leader of the most dangerous revolution in the latter half of last century--but I had no freaking idea was also a sick pervert. Aaron sites chapter and verse out of Khomeini's book Tahrirolvasyleh where these sayings come from. Can any one confirm Khomeini actually wrote this? Here is some of the more disgusting stuff:

-A man can marry a girl younger than nine years of age, even if the girl is still a baby being breastfed. A man, however is prohibited from having intercourse with a girl younger than nine, other sexual act such as forplay, rubbing, kissing and sodomy is allowed.

-A man can have sex with animals such as sheep, cows, camels and so on. However he should kill the animal after he has his orgasm. He should not sell the meat to the people in his own village, however selling the meat to the next door village should be fine.

-If one commits the act of sodomy with a cow, a ewe, or a camel, their urine and their excrement become impure, and even their milk may no longer be consumed. The animal must then be killed and as quickly as possible and burned.

UPDATE BELOW more...

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Van Gogh Murder Linked to Spanish Terrorists, Muslim School Bombed

The plot thickens around the Dutch filmaker who was murdered for criticizing Islam. Expatica:

The assassination of Dutch filmmaker Theo van Gogh may have been ordered by a fugitive Spanish terrorist, it has been reported.

Spanish authorities are assisting Dutch justice officials investigate possible links between the arrested suspect, Mohammed B., and Islamic extremists in Spain, the Wall Street Journal said on Monday.....

Police are holding six people in connection with Van Gogh's murder, including B., who was charged on Friday with the killing and membership of a group with "terrorist intentions". One of the suspects is a Spanish-Moroccan.

It had previously been revealed on 20 October that the Dutch intelligence service AIVD was investigating a Dutch link to eight people arrested for allegedly plotting a bomb attack on the High Court in Madrid.

SPI:
A bombing before dawn Monday blew the front door off a Muslim elementary school in a southern town and extensively damaged the building in what police suspect was a revenge attack for the killing of a Dutch filmmaker last week.

No one was injured in the attack on the empty school, which came days after the arrest of a Muslim radical accused of killing filmmaker Theo van Gogh. Van Gogh, a distant relative of Vincent Van Gogh, released a film titled "Submission" in August that was critical of how women are treated under Islam.

The Tarieq Ibnu Zyad Islamic elementary school in Eindhoven, about 75 miles south of Amsterdam, is run by the al-Fourqaan Islamic Center, which oversees the town's al-Fourqaan mosque.

More later. Related.

Others: James Joyner, Robert Spencer

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Morning Report

Took the weekend off to be with the family. Since I got the Christmas decorations out of the attic for my wife, I thought the least she could do for me is fix some breakfast. No go. It looks like I'll be having blogs for the most important meal of the day. At least I know I'm eating the breakfast of champions. So, what's up around the blogosphere today?

Chad Evans notes that Zarqawi's latest morning cartoons include blowing up British troops. And as long as were talking morning toons, Hyscience notes some pro-US home videos out there. Did you know that before the Phillipines was a US colony that it was controlled by Espagne? Hence, the reason why they are a bunch of gezpacho eating surrender llamas too. What does the Donald have for breakfast (besides his own face)? Democrats. Think Muslims were just so nice to Christians over the centuries? Uncle Mike says have a falafal and think again. Simon has all of Asia covered--Kimchi gauranteed. Digger decides to have an Arafat death conspiracy this morning, with a side of farber beans. New blog for me, The Modern Crusader, has the goods on the Fallujah assault--MRE? More Fallujah MREs served by John Little--comprehensive assault news and this very interesting news about foreign terrorists in Iraq.Bob Hayes has snails for breakfast and says we should try to bully the French. Kevin, was that fisks or fists? I always get those two confused. Mike King on the stupidity of the left, "The VRWC wants kosher!!" Do electors eat grits in Atlanta? Germans love David Hasselhoff but not as much as cars. Oh, and Flea, I was with you too man. Arm raised high. Don't shoot Commie!

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November 06, 2004

Kenny Revealed

by Demosophist

Kenny Revealed Kenny Floating

He'll be baaack.

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November 05, 2004

The Skinny on the Exit Polls, or how academia ruined the polling data

By now all of you have heard that the biggest fluster-muck of the MSM's coverage of the election was the pathetic accuracy of the exit polls. Since I have some first hand information on how the process worked, at least in this part of my little state, let me share some quick thoughts.

Some in the blogosphere are calling this a conspiracy of sorts. That the numbers were deliberately cooked. Others say the numbers weren't deliberately pro-Kerry, but that their early release was part of a plan to depress Republican voter turnout in Western states. For instance, over at Powerline:

It seems likely that Democrats ran the exit polling process, and deliberately generated bad data to create momentum for the Kerry campaign. This much, I think is a reasonable inference. It is also reasonable to suspect that the same people who created the bad data leaked it to Democratic bloggers as part of a strategy of depressing Republican turnout.
David Limbaugh adds:
Personally, I don't know if Democrats ran the exit polling process, but I'm sure liberals did, which is essentially the same thing. And there is very little doubt that those in control leaked it....

Someone somewhere in the process deliberately manipulated either the polling process, or the selection of participants, or something. With the pre-election polls as accurate as they were, it's virtually inconceivable that the superior exit polls could have been off like they were. Something smells very rotten.

David is right, and I have some evidence to back that up.

As most of you know, I blog from my desk at a small university somewhere in the vast hinterland of America. From my earlier posts on the subject, you know that my university is just as liberal as Berkeley or any other campus (in my department 9 full-time faculty voted Kerry, 2 for Bush, 1 did not vote, and 1 declined to state). So, why is this relevant? Because all those who ran the exit polls were students and the students were recruited by faculty members.

Two weeks or so before the election I received a phone call from a colleague on the English faculty. She had been contacted by one of the firms that had been subcontracted to conduct the exit polling for the Associated Press. They wanted her to recruit three students to do exit polling in the local vicinity and as many students as she could get to travel to nearby counties. Why is this relevant? Because she is a junior English instructor. If the firm had simply looked up our university in the phone book I would think they would contact me--the senior member of the political science faculty and the specialist in American government. They did not. So why did they contact her? No idea. However, I will note that she is an activist in the Democratic Party, an open Kerry supporter, and involved in many liberal causes.

Later, I learned the firm contacted one other faculty member to recruit students--the director of Social Work. If you do not know what Social Work students are like think of a typical lefty student stereotype, add a dash of love for all things Great Society, and throw in more than a spoonful of feelings of entitlement and there you go. The firm recruited all of their workers to conduct polling from among this group.

All of the polling in 1/8 of our state was done by Social Work students. All of it. My state, if you must know, was said to be 'too close too call' according to the exit-polling data. In actuality, Bush won by 10 points.

If the exit polls were conducted by students all across the country, I suspect that we may have one of the reasons why the initial data turned out to be so wrong. Students, generally, are more liberal in college than when they get out into the real world. Further, if the type of student recruited at my university was repeated across the country then we have an even bigger problem. The firm contacted two very liberal professors (even more liberal than the rest), who in turn asked their favorite students if they wanted a chance to make some cash.

From there it is not hard to figure out why the numbers would be so skewed, even if the students did not deliberately do it. You see, each of us has a natural tendency to feel more comfortable talking with some type of people over others. If I was to conduct an exit poll, I would feel quite comfortable talking to a guy in a cowboy hat. On the other hand, a guy wearing a Che shirt and Birks might be somewhat out of my comfort zone. Not that I wouldn't talk to any Che shirt guys, just not as many. If my bias is repeated over and over, by hundreds and by thousands of poll workers, than this bias becomes substantial when the numbers are aggregated.

This explains why the data were wrong. Students, possibly a lot of very liberal students, were hired for a day to run the exit polls. They tended to oversample other liberals--not in a huge way but enough to make a difference. These data were then turned over to the experts who aggregated them and then reported bad data to the major news outlets.

Two questions remain. First, why was it that a well known liberal and the head of a department renound for indoctrinating liberalism into it's students were contacted to recruit students? It may just be a coincidence, but I fail to see the logic in it. Second, why were the misleading data leaked out? Our explanation, thus far, only suggests why the data were bad. It does not explain why these data were leaked out. There may be no connection. It only takes one excited Kerry supported to call Wonkette and Sullivan and then let the 'good news' pick up steam from there.

Just a few thoughts. Many questions remain.

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Happy Blogoversary La Shawn

La Shawn Barber is a great blogger who celebrates her blog anniversary today. Hey La Shawn, what ever happened to that article you interviewed me for?

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Captain Scott Speicher's Body Found?

Via John Little this First Coast News story. Speicher was downed in the First Gulf War and was rumored to be alive and in Iraqi custody. When we liberated Iraq, an intensive manhunt was said to be pursued by the military in hopes of finding him alive.

First Coast News has learned a body has been found in Iraq and DNA testing is underway. Multiple sources tell First Coast News Captain Scott Speicher's family has been notified. They will not disclose the details of why they believe these are his remains only to say they have reason to feel confident these are his remains. Test results are expected within weeks.

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TheGhost of Herbert Hoover

Rember all those jobs that we lost? Yeah, that whole 'first President since Hoover to lose jobs' thang? Well, it looks like G. W. found them and that by the time of he is sworn in again more jobs will have been created than lost. Not that I think the President has much to do with these things, but it is nice to hear one of the Kerry crowds mantras will be finally put to rest. This calls for some cowbell!

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Rusty + Spoons =

Rusty + Spoons = Rusty Spoons.

(Yeah, more like a Flea thing, but I'm still sick and half coherent. Thanks Beth!)

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Why did you vote for G.W. Bush?

The BBC wants to know why Americans were dumb enough to elect Bush. Baldilocks says it for me:

I voted for George W. Bush to send a message to those who would like to see Western Civilization fall under the Islamic boot, as Islamist terrorist would prefer (yes, United Kingdom, you are on this hit-list as well): we will not go gently into that particular goodnight.

I wanted to help elect an American leader that will defend liberty; not just in word, like GWB's predecessor, but in deed.

Amen sister! The BBC may be slightly anti-Bush, but the Mirror doesn't hold back. Here's the headline, "U.S. ELECTION DISASTER: THE WORLD MOURNS.. " Misha has far more to say on this, most of it unprintable on my PG-13 site--but which I profoundly agree with.

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F-16 Fires on School in New Jersey

It's funny because it's true. Wait, there's a New Jersey? Guardian:

A National Guard F-16 fighter jet on a nighttime training mission strafed an elementary school with 25 rounds of ammunition, authorities said Thursday. No one was injured.

The military is investigating the incident that damaged Little Egg Harbor Intermediate School shortly after 11 p.m.

Hat tip to James Joyner and Jeff Quinton. How could I resist passing this along?

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November 04, 2004

Islamists Declared War on the US 25 Years Ago Today

Today is the 25th anniversary of the day the jihadis declared war on America. On Nov. 4, 1979 Islamist students in Tehran overan the U.S. embassy and took 66 Americans hostage. The hostages were held for 444 days. They were released on Jan. 20, 1981--the day Ronald Reagan was sworn into office.

But the hostages were not released simply because the Iranians feared Reagan's wrath. Jimmy Carter may be responsible for our present woes. You see, Carter negotiated a deal with the terrorists. The deal was that the US would unfreeze $8 billion dollars in Iranian assets in return for the hostages. The jihadis learned a vluable lesson: America will give in to their demands when American lives are on the line.

The Iranian revolution was an Islamist revolution. It took secular and forward looking Persia down the path to the Middle Ages of barbaric Islamic law. While the Shia Islam of Iran may seem more moderate than Wahhabism to many in the West, the Islamic law of the Islamic Republic is that which routinely sentences people to death for blasphemy, adultery, or other religious crimes.

The worst part of the Iranian revolution was that it exported the notion of the Islamic revolutionary state. From Marxism it imported the notion that society could be completely revamped--that a sort of utopia could be found in Islamic law. And like Marxism, it took on a missionary zeal to export the Islamist ideal to the rest of the Muslim world.

Through funding and sponsorship of Hamas, Iran has destabilized an already volitile region. Through funding and sponsorship of Hizballah, Iran brought down an entire nation and thrust Lebanon into a bloody civil war. Iran funded those that murdered hundreds of American troops in the 1983 suicide bombing in Beirut. Iran continues to fund organizations that murder Jews wherever they may be found, revolutionary movements in North Africa, and is bent on turning any future Palestinian state into an Islamic Republic modeled after their own barbaric country.

Iran was a peaceful, forward looking nation until the Revolutionary zeal of the Islamist ideology gripped it. Like the French Revolutionaries before them, the Iranian jihadis were not content to murder their own intellectuals, businessmen, and non-orthodox religionists--they had a higher calling to spread the utopian Islamic state abroad. Napolean found that the English would not tolerate his Imperialistic goal of spreading the French Revolution, and so Europe was plunged into a war that would cost the lives of millions. The English people, though, were saved the misery of the Napoleonic wars by virtue of the English Channel. Enlish soldiers would bring the fight to the French Revolutionary Army and not wait for Napolean to bring the war to Brittain.

Like the English before us, America found itself in the position of standing between the Iranian revolutionaries and their vision of the global caliphate. The US became the 'Great Satan', the obstacle, the one nation with the power to stall the inevitable coming of Sharia law to all Muslim nations (and eventually beyond). So, the jihadis declared war on that day. Their war aims were simply stated and straightforward--weaken American resolve so that jihad could spread unchecked throughout the Islamic world from Morocco to Indonesia. Unlike the English before us, America retreated, only fighting the jihadis through our proxies and never fully aware of the dangers of this cancerous ideology. We had bigger fish to fry. The Cold War seemed much more imminent and the stakes certainly were much higher. We slept.

September 11th may have awakened us to the fact that we were at war, but that war had been declared long ago. It was declared 25 years ago today by the extremists in Iran. Today, the Islamic Republic of Iran is seeking nuclear technology--technology that could lead to the development of nuclear weapons--and the Europeans have taken the Carter route in dealing with the mullahs. For each concession given to them by the Europeans, the jihadis in Iran see Western weakness. They saw this weakness in the US as we gave them cash in exchange for the hostages. They saw this weakness as Reagan retreated from Lebanon. We can bear to show them weakness no more.

The time has come to realize when and who first began this Third World War of Islamists bent on taking one-third of the world back to the darkest days of the Middle Ages versus those that would see freedom and liberty become the inheritance of all mankind. That war was started 25 years ago today, and it was the Iranian revolutionaries that fired the first shot.

Earlier today, a friend of mine said: "I'm incensed that I can't find a single word in any newspaper about today being the 25 year anniversary of an unambiguous but unrecognized declaration of war against America." I'm doing my part. Please help spread the word.

Below is a list of others who are commemorating this anniversary. It looks like the Revolutionary Council is issuing fatwas against them. Please visit.

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Blog Barfage....

Since I'm sick, let me just heave some link droppage. I'm reading these posts on my sick bed, so why not refer them? I just can't keep them down--stuff seems to be coming out every oraface! Crumpets get puked. Southern fried chicken upchuck. Arafish sushi spewage. Baghdad is beautiful, even when you're sick. Truth tonselitis. Dancing dizziness. News Hour enemas. My penis...well, let's not talk about that. Broken camel heave. Lefty gland lumps. Stern spew. A spoonful of crow. Delaware diarrhea. Naked fever. Concession crappage. Anti-American fever. Cabinet chlamidya. West Nile Virus. Student loan shiza. Che caca. Europussy puke. Liberal lameness. Dan dung. Gazpacho goo. High-tech heaves. France (just France).Green roughage, too much. Democratic diarhea. Oil-for-food farts. Draft dry-heaves. More blog bargage. Celebs make me sneeze. Pat myself on my own aching back. Cat cough. Homo hives. Laughing makes me hurt. I'm so ronery rauphing ralphing. Traitorous tetnus. Left blogging barfage. Vodka vomit, inconceivable! Asshole leakage. Hetero-HIV. Vote or die death watch. DU drowning. Shatner.

I need a blessing.

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Russian Leaders Call for Taking Terrorists' Families Hostage

Last week Pravda reported that Russia's Prosecutor General, Vladimir Ustinov, suggested that a part of any future Russian special forces anti-terrorism contingency plan may be to take hostage-takers' families hostage. The comments were made during a session of Russia's lower parliamentary house, the Duma, earlier this week.

The St. Petersburg Times translates his suggestion this way: "Detaining relatives and showing terrorists what may happen to their relatives could help save people's lives, so let's not close our eyes or put a diplomatic face on it. When you live by the sword, you die by the sword."

Although his speech was met by applause, the suggestion seemed to have been met negatively in the Russian press. However, one important figure that has endorsed the plan is the Russian backed President of Chechnya, Alu Alkhanov. One source translates his endorsement: "We should do everything allowed by law, I think." He added that if the Duma were to pass such a law, then he would support it.

Chechnya's representative to the Russian Duma also chimed in: "Every terrorist has relatives, and they should bare responsibility for the criminal acts of their family members."

The reaction from the world community seems to be to unanimously condemn Ustinov's statements. Reuters, which has a special news service devoted to human rights abuses, reports that UN human rights experts have expressed concern:

Leila Zerrougui, chair of the United Nations working group on arbitrary detention, and Stephen Toope, head of the U.N. working group on enforced or involuntary disappearances, said this would "run counter to the principles of international law".

"Detaining innocent people as hostages of the state in order to combat abductions and terrorism is contrary to the most elemental international human rights principles and norms," the independent experts said in a joint statement.

No word from UN Human Rights Commission members Syria (a prominent state sponsor of terrorism), or from Libya (the country that trained terrorists for the past 20 years).

I do not endorse such tactics, but it seems odd that the UN would condemn what is really just an idea (probably with no chance of actually becoming policy) with such force and outrage, while they turn a blind eye and give official sanction to terrorists who actually engage in the practice of hostage taking and murder. I'm looking at you soon-to-be corpse Yasser Arafat and friends.

Linked at the BTJ, because I think it's a cool story and word should get out.

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Thank You Readers/Bloggers

I just wanted to thank all the people who have been linking me lateley. I really don't know all of the blogs that have linked me, but if you would like me to link back at you just drop me a line at my g-mail account. I didn't start blogging to become popular with other bloggers--in fact, one of the reasons I blog anonymously is so I can say outrageous things if I want--but I'm very happy that something here has resonated with the blogosphere. I was shocked to find that I was #49 at TTLB today. Now if only I was #49 in traffic rankings....

To all my regular readers, too, thanks. A shout out for you is in order. I especially appreciate all of you who leave comments--in spite of the fact that there are serious issues on this site about remembering your info. If you're a regular reader and don't comment, please do so from time to time. It's why I blog. I try to read most of the recent comments, but don't always respond. more...

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Sick Blogging, and the week was going so well!!

I'm sort of under the weather today, so light posting--and on such a wonderful day too! Yasser Arafat is dying, George Bush was re-elected, and Afghanistan has a it's first elected President. What a time to be alive. Good things are happening all around.

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The Real Losers

by Demosophist

Kerry may have lost the election, but there was really a much bigger loser. Mainstream media, which is to say primarily CBS, NY Times and LA Times really staked their credibility on a Kerry win. They threw caution to the wind, and stoked a partisan fire under the cover of the "objective" media, and had their cover blown for all to see. People will forget about the damaging claims that Kerry made, but they won't forget about Rathergate and a host of other betrayals of trust. More importantly, mainstream media knows it's under attack now, and will fight back to keep its privileged position with all the ferocity of the ancien regime that it is. more...

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November 03, 2004

Army of Ansar al Sunna Beheads Iraqi Officer, Hostage Taking Continues in Iraq (UPDATED)

iraqiofficer1.jpgThis is an archive page. For the latest news on The Army of Ansar al-Sunnah and other terrorist groups in Iraq please go to the MAIN PAGE HERE.

UPDATE 5/10: Army of Ansar al-Sunna website releases images of Japanese hostage Akihiko Saito. Images, story, and link to website.
--------------------------------
The Army of Ansar al-Sunna posted the videotaped murder of an Iraqi Army officer today. The victim's name was Major Hussein Shunun and the terrorists claim that he was kidnapped in Mosul several days ago. As is their usual MO, the terrorists said the victim 'confessed' to 'collaborating' with the enemy and warned that any one who backed the 'crusader occupation forces' would be murdered in a similar fashion. So-called 'collaboraters' are routinely murdered in the Palestinian territories, in Chechnya, and in Kashmir.

UPDATE: I have obtained the video and it is gruesome. Images from the video are posted here. To the right is a still I captured right before the bastards murder Shunun. Graphic images are below. You can download the video at the Terrorist Media website, which is an essential resource for tracking terrorist propaganda films. The site is in need of donations, if you can spare some change. Straight Banana also seems to have the video. Unfortunately, videos are too much of a bandwidth hog for me to host them.

Chad at In the Bullpen tipped me on this, and also noted four Jordanian truck drivers have also been taken hostage. The Army of Ansar al-Sunnah has not claimed responsibility, but it is possible they were behind the act. However, since the drivers were captured in Ramadi, it seems unlikely. The Army of Ansar al-Sunnah has generally limited it's terrorist activities to areas in the north. Ramadi is located just west of Baghdad in the Sunni triangle. It is more likeley that these hostages will be held for ransom, like dozens of others before them.

Two days ago an American citizen was taken hostage in Iraq [earlier post here]. Today he was identified as Radim Sadeq, an American of Lebanese ancestry. He was in Iraq working as a civillian contractor working for a mobile phone company. Sadeq lived in the same neighborhood as murdered hostages Kenneth Bigley [info here], Eugene Armstrong [info here] and Jack Hensley [info here]. The three were beheaded by Abu Musab al-Zarqawi's al Qaeda linked Tawid and Jihad organization. more...

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