November 02, 2004

Zarqawi Releases Beheading Video of Japanese Victim

koda1.jpgThis is an archive page. For the latest news on terrorist groups in Iraq please go to the MAIN PAGE HERE.

UPDATE 5/10: Army of Ansar al-Sunna website releases images of Japanese hostage Akihiko Saito. Images, story, and link to website.
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Abu Musab al-Zarqawi al Qaeda linked terrorist organization has released the videotaped murder of Japanese hostage Shosei Koda. I have a copy of it and have posted graphic images from the video below. A link to the video is also below. Zarqawi had previously threatened to murder Koda if Japan did not withdraw its troops from Japan. The Japanese troops are engaged in a non-combat rebuilding role. Shosei Koda, for his part, was a civillian who apparently went to Iraq as a tourist. He was reported dead late last week.

Sofia News Agency:

A group led by al Qaeda ally Abu Musab al-Zarqawi showed the beheading of Japanese hostage Shosei Koda in Iraq in an Internet video posted on Tuesday.

The video showed the execution of the Japanese hostage while he was lying on top of a U.S. flag.

Al Qaeda Organisation of Holy War in Iraq also warned Tokyo to withdraw its forces from Iraq or "drown in the hell of the mujahideen" in the country along with "crusader forces".

koda2.jpgImages: Both right and left images are stills from the gruesome beheading video of Shosei Koda.

Reuters:

Al Qaeda Organization of Holy War in Iraq said Tokyo had offered a ransom of "millions of dollars" for 24-year-old Koda. It warned Japan to withdraw its forces from Iraq or "drown in the hell of the mujahideen" along with "crusader forces."

Japanese Foreign Ministry spokesman Hatsuhisa Takashima denied the ransom claim. "It's just groundless. We have not done that," he said, denouncing the video posting as "disgusting." ...

The video showed the hostage, who was wearing a white T-shirt, kneeling with a U.S. flag laid out behind him. Koda's hands were tied behind his back and three masked men dressed all in black stood beneath the group's banner.

After reading a statement, the men grabbed Koda and put him on the flag before sawing off his head with a large knife and holding it aloft and placing it on top of the corpse.

"We had given the Japanese government 48 hours to save its citizen and meet our demands ... and after the deadline passed we cut off the head of this infidel," one of the militants said.

"Let the whole world know that Al Qaeda Organization of Holy War is firm in its jihad (holy war) despite the Japanese government's offer of a ransom of millions of dollars to release their parasite son," said a separate statement from the group dated Nov. 2 and posted on a Web site often used by Islamists.

Japanese Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi, a close ally of President Bush, has condemned the killing and vowed to keep Japan's troops in Iraq.

The beheading video can be downloaded here, but registration is required. Straight Banana also has the video at this post.

Others covering the news: James Joyner, Straight Banana, In the Bullpen, ISOU, Digger's Realm, M.H. King

WARNING: Graphic images from the video posted below. more...

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Mmmmmm, doughnuts!!

It's been far too long since I had a good hearty blog breakfast. Since I cancelled classes today, I finally have time to do the important work of the untenured college professor: link drop!! But seriously folks, there's a whole lot of shakin goin on out there.

I also endorse Shit Sandwich. Ooh, and more SP related election news bitches.

Larry Sabato is to political science what, er, Rusty Shackleford is to political science (But at least Rusty Shackleford knows he's a hack and limits his pontifications to the four or five thousand people who come here daily while Larry Sabato's assinine opinions are heard by four or five million people. Oh, and he's a hack.) more...

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Oh, so that's what they meant by 'fatwa'!

The penalty for apostasy in Islam is the death penalty (for those of you in my intro class, 'apostasy' means you leave the faith).Dutch Filmmaker Who Criticized Islam Slain in Amsterdam:

A Dutch filmmaker who had received death threats after releasing a movie criticizing the treatment of women under Islam was slain in Amsterdam on Tuesday, police said.
A suspect, a 26-year-old man with dual Dutch-Moroccan nationality, was arrested after a shootout with officers that left him wounded, police said.
Thanks to Gordo the Cranky Neocon for e-mailing me this and reminding me of the reason why I've had to up the security measures. As a note to my blog friends, yes I've received threats and yes this explains why I've stopped commenting on most other sites.

Jane uses the news to note that "Freedom of speech is a corollary of freedom of thought."

The rest of the story is below. Commenting on the Dutch PM's PC comment that "Nothing is known about the motive," James Joyner responds: "please, is there really any doubt as to the motive of the murder? "

McQ: "ThatÂ’s a pretty sad testament about a religion if you ask me."

Indeed. more...

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November 01, 2004

Who Will Vote?

by Demosophist

A great deal has been made of the Democrats' GOTV (get out the vote) program. I was a Democratic organizer and activist for years, and I'm pretty familiar with some of the rigmarole. My thesis is that Kerry's ambiguity is pretty much a wash with Democrats, so their motivation to vote for the candidate is no stronger than in any other year, and probably weaker. In fact, the more hawkish he's compelled to be, in order to match Bush, the less attractive he appears to the Deaniacs. Their motivation comes almost exclusively from their aversion to George Bush. more...

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My Electoral Vote Prediction: it's the weather, stupid!

Reaching into the depths of my vast well of political science factoids I pulled out this little semi-factoid: weather can change the outcome of a Presidential election. Who said it? I dunno, but it seems like something some political scientist must have theorized at some time and then found enough information about to get his findings published in the APSR (that's the American Political Science Review the flagship journal of the profession--mostly used for paperweight). Anyway it's sounds good and I'm too lazy to look it up!!

So, let's pretend for a moment that this very poli-sci-ish sounding theory is correct and try to game the Electoral College. Assume a couple of things. First, that a large voter turnout would mean a Kerry victory in close states. Second, assume that the poorer the weather the better it will be for Bush. This is based on a third assumption which is that Kerry voters are more likely than Bush supporters to have to hoof it, use public transportation, or drive cars which risk floating away in sudden rainstorms.

Ok, so using the above let's look at the states where the pundits have it too close to call. Too close to call is defined by Slate's 'iffy' states.

Florida=Sunny and 86 in Daytona, partly cloudy and 86 in Miami. The AARP goes out in droves, public transportation running smoothely, and convicted felons have no problem making it to the polls.

Jawa call Fla=Kerry.

Ohio=Rain all day in Cleveland, but a balmy 61--unseasonally warm. The same pretty much all over the state. Farmers and SUV loving Bushies will have no problem getting out the vote.

Jawa call Oh=Bush.

Wisconsin=Cloudy and in the mid to upper 40's in Milwaukee. Just chilly enough to suppress the Medicaid/welfare vote, but not so much that it stops the UW-Madison vote. That's a wash.

Jawa call WI=Kerry.

Minnessotta=Sunny and in the mid-40's in Minneapolis/St. Paul, low 40's in Duluth. Average temps all around.

Jawa call MN=Kerry.

Pennsylvania=Rain/heavy rains and in the mid-50's in Western and Northwestern Pennsylvania. Democratic stronghold of Philadelphia is partly cloudy with a high of 62. Fired lawyer-HIV-Springstein vote en masse on the liberal coast.

Jawa call PA=Kerry.

New Hampshire=Chance of rain increases throughout the day and a temperature in the mid-40's. But this is New Hampshire, which means that the richer you are the more likely you are to vote for John Kerry--because, naturally, how could you hold your head up high in your Boston office having voted for that dolt Bush?!? The quick-run-to-get-some-duty-free-Moulson's vote suppressed by old snow-tires and high price of gas.

Jawa call NH=Kerry.

Iowa=Partly cloudy and afternoon temps in the upper-40s. Practically summer in Iowa. Hawkeye kegger party weather-- togas, bonfire, and lots of College Republicans terrorizing the Women's Studies department.

Jawa call Iowa=Bush.

New Mexico=Albuquerque is unseasonally cold with temps in the mid-40's and some snow in the hours before the polls open. The Taos liberals are all still comfortably in the Bahamas--not enough snow to make the migration to the slopes yet--so no advantage there. But the Santa Fe art crowd will wake up to temps in the upper 20s and icy roads. The weather will be just cold enough to suppress the recently trimmed pony-tail laden.

Jawa call NM=Bush.

And as the song goes, and the rest........

evotepredict2.jpg

The moral of the story is this: pray for bad weather!!!

Can't one of you, like, do a dance or something and rummage up a storm? How about another hurricane in Florida? Some nice hailstorms in Wisconsin?

*I actually think Bush will win, but hey, this was much funner than grading some stupid midterms!!!

*Double PS-As another good poli-scientist, Dr. Choas, noted to me, under this scenario Bush would only need to pull WI or MN to get the tie. Tie goes to the House. The House is Republican. Bush wins.

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Interview with a Swiftie: 3-D

Dean Esmay scores his final Swiftie interview, this time with Steve Gardner who served on Kerry's boat for 2.5 of the 3 months JFK saw combat. Money quote:

Just so you do understand, absolutely I do have a grudge against John Kerry for what he did in 1971 and 1972 for what he did when he met with the Viet Cong and said in Senate that we were baby killers and were committing war atrocities--that is absolutely a categorical lie. But the guys who really have a grudge are the POWs that he caused all the harm to because of his self-aggrandizing lies that he told.

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Something I Just Don't Understand

by Demosophist

Why the deuce isn't George W. Bush using this TO CAMPAIGN AGAINST BIN LADEN? Is he, like, politically tone deaf?

Update: Brit Hume just annonced the details of the MEMRI translation on FOX Special Report (6:15 PM). Every vote is important now.

(Cross-posted by Demosophist to Demosophia and Anticipatory Retaliation)

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Ex-Guantanomo Inmate Behind Islamobad Marriott Bombing

Last week I reported that a bomb had gone off in downtown Islamobad's (that's the capital of Pakistan for those of you in my intro classes) Marriott hotel. While Pakistani authorities tried to play down the blast as an accident, the fact that the blast was in a lobby frequented by Westerners immediately gave rise suspicions. Turns out, these suspicions were well founded. While ex-Gitmo inmates in Brittain are busy suing the US for illegaly holding them for doing nothing more than studying the Religion of Peace under Osama bin Laden, and current Chinese inmates beg the US not to send them back to China, others have been busy bombing the J.W. Marriot in Islamobad. Via LGF this Reuters piece:

Abdullah Mehsud, a former Guantanamo Bay inmate who masterminded the kidnapping of two Chinese engineers, has claimed responsibility for a blast last week at Islamabad's Marriott Hotel, a journalist said on Monday.

Pakistani journalist Rahimullah Yusufzai said Abdullah, the target of a huge manhunt after the kidnapping of the engineers last month, made the claim after contacting him by telephone from an undisclosed location on Sunday.

"We carried out the Marriott bomb blast," Yusufzai quoted him as saying.

An explosion hit the Marriott Hotel on Thursday, injuring seven people, including a U.S. diplomat, two Italians and the Pakistani prime minister's chief security officer.

The government and the hotel immediately said it was not a terrorist attack and was most probably caused by an electrical short circuit.

But the State Department said it believed the blast, which happened while 11 U.S. officials were at the hotel for a dinner, was caused by a bomb and the U.S. embassy has advised its citizens to stay away from the Marriott.

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'Insurgents' Threaten to Use WMD in Fallujah

Note that the 'rebels' a) are led by remnants of Sadam Hussein's Army b) have chemical weapons c) are collaborating with Zarqawi's al Qaeda linked terrorist organization. The Australian:

AS the US reeled from the death of nine marines in Iraq at the weekend, insurgents in Fallujah claimed to have obtained chemical weapons and threatened to use them in any battle for control of the rebel stronghold.

Rebel commanders said chemicals such as cyanide had been added to mortar rounds and missiles that would be deployed against coalition troops reported to be preparing for a major assault on the town west of Baghdad.

A military committee made up of former officers in Saddam Hussein's army, including experts on chemicals and guerrilla warfare, is said to have been organising forces in Fallujah and planning tactics.

The committee is understood to include members of all the main insurgent groups, including that of Iraq's most wanted man, Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, the terrorist leader behind the beheading of several foreign hostages and a string of car-bomb attacks.

Brian at the Command Post wishes to avoid using the term 'WMD', but I don't mind one bit. The insurgents claim to have chemicals 'such as cyanide'--not just cyanide. Cyanide is representative of a broader class of chemicals they claim to have in their possesion.

Others: Right on Red, NZ Bear

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If you're stupid, please don't vote

Since most of my intro classes are taught on Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, today afforded me the last opportunity to give some advice to students who are about to get their election cherries popped. Here's what I told them: DON'T VOTE.

PS-Amen.

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American Kidnapped in Iraq

Thanks to James Joyner for alerting me that the BBC is reporting that four more hostages have been siezed in Iraq, including one American. Two of the hostages are reportedly non-Iraqi Arabs, while the fourth is from Nepal. The Washington Times reports:

The abductions, which reportedly left one kidnapper dead, occurred in the Mansour district of the capital. There was no immediate claim of responsibility, but officials said Muslim insurgents were almost certainly behind the crime.
Now would certainly be a good time to say a prayer for these people. You might recall that over the weekend Japanese hostage Shosei Koda was beheaded by Abu Musab al-Zarqawi's group. I fear the same fate for these poor souls.

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Osama Speech Mistranslated (Urgent!)

by Demosophist

According to MEMRI the Osam speech delivered on Saturday threatens each individual state in thet US that votes in favor of Bush. So, I guess that means that New York is OK but Virginia is "in trouble" unless we can float the excuse that his message was garbled by the press. Boy, if Hawaii goes for Bush they're sure gonna kick themselves, huh? From MEMRI: more...

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UN Hostages in Afghanistan Plea for Life in New Video

On October 28th we reported that three UN workers had been taken hostage in Afghanistan. Yesterday, a video was released of the three hostages pleading for their lives. The hostages were in Iraq to help with last months elections and all were employed by the UN. They are Annetta Flanigan of Northern Ireland, Filipino diplomat Angelito Nayan and Shqipe Habibi of Kosovo. As more evidence that involving the UN does not translate into support for US policies, the terrorists "threatened to kill them unless U.N. and British troops leave Afghanistan and Muslim prisoners are freed from U.S. jails (source: China Daily)".

The BBC reports that the deadline set by the terrorists has been extended. In what seems to be a precaution against raids aimed at freeing the hostages, their are also reports that the three have been split up.

UPDATE: Make that threatening to behead the hostages. more...

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Iranian Parliament Moves Nuke Program Forward Shouting "Death to America"

From the same country that stones 13 year old girls to death for incest comes this news. AP:

To shouts of "Death to America," Iran's parliament unanimously approved the outline of a bill Sunday that would require the government to resume uranium enrichment, legislation likely to deepen an international dispute over Iran's nuclear activities....

Some lawmakers broke out with shouts of "Death to America!" after the conservative-dominated parliament after lawmakers voted to advance the nation's nuclear program, an issue of national pride that provides a rare point of agreement between conservatives and reformers.

Parliament speaker Gholam Ali Haddad Adel called Sunday's vote a message to the world.

"The message of the absolute vote for the Iranian nation is that the parliament supports national interests," he said. "And the message for the outside world is that the parliament won't give in to coercion."

The legislation said the goverment is "required to make use of scientists and the country's facilities ... in order to enable the country to master peaceful nuclear technology, including the cycle of nuclear fuel."

John Little of Blogs of War tipped me on this story, and he ads this food for thought: John Kerry, as recently as the presidential debates, has propesed supplying this regime with nuclear fuel.

Vic at anti-com.com: "Does anyone reading this even know what Kerry's position on Iran is? Let's get our allies involved? Let's get France and Germany and Britain involved? Let's get the international community involved? Let's get the IAEA involved? Let's get the UN involved? They already are."

G. Turner over at AIR links to Kerry's own words from his own official campaign website: "If this process fails, we must lead the effort to ensure that the IAEA takes this issue to the Security Council for action."

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Patting Self On Back

Sometime over the weekend, my little pet Jawa reached one million page-views! Sit Jawa, sit. Nice Jawa. Good boy!

Yeah, it's not one million visits, but we're halfway there. Thanks to BRD and Demosophist for stepping up to the plate and becoming my partners in crime.

PS-All this without a single Instalaunche---no sour grapes, though.

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Kerry's Non-Honorable Discharge (Updated)

As noted here a few days ago, the Swifties promised to break some big news about John Kerry's less than honorable discharge. I then tried to help spread the word that the announcement would come at a rally at the Capital. Well, it looks like the info the Swifties had was not as shocking as some of my readers had suggested it would be and they pulled the plug on the event. I know Beth is pretty pissed about this, but I would remind her that the early reports at the Swiftie board promised that a former Sec. of Navy would confirm speculation on Kerry's discharge and not a former JAG officer--which is what we got.

Still, this World Net Daily article by Earl Livey does a pretty decent job at piecing together the case that John Kerry was not honorably discharged from the Navy. The Sun also runs a story by Thomas Lipscomb, the man who had first speculated on Kerry's discharge on the 13th of Oct. Of course, John Kerry could clear all of this up if he would just authorize the DOD to release all of his records, something President Bush has done. From WND:

There is overwhelming evidence that the Navy gave John Kerry either a dishonorable discharge or an undesirable discharge – which is the equivalent of a dishonorable discharge without the felony conviction – and that, as a result of such discharge, he was stripped of all of his famous but questionable Navy awards and medals. And the kicker? The evidence is on his website! ...

What Mr. Lipscomb noticed (and I overlooked when I first read the document) was the date of the posted discharge, Feb. 16, 1978. This was six years after Kerry's six-year (1966-1972) commitment to the Navy ended. The anti-war detractor of our military did not re-up for another six-year term in 1972, so why the delay of his discharge? The only logical conclusion is that the 1978 honorable discharge was a second discharge given to replace an earlier undesirable discharge under less-than-honorable conditions, as unfit for military service.

From the Sun:
A former officer in the Navy's Judge Advocate General Corps Reserve has built a case that Senator Kerry was other than honorably discharged from the Navy by 1975, The New York Sun has learned.

The "honorable discharge" on the Kerry Web site appears to be a Carter administration substitute for an original action expunged from Mr. Kerry's record, according to Mark Sullivan, who retired as a captain in the Navy's Judge Advocate General Corps Reserve in 2003 after 33 years of service as a judge advocate. Mr. Sullivan served in the office of the Secretary of the Navy between 1975 and 1977....

"Mr. Meehan may well be right and all Mr. Kerry's military records are on his Web site," Mr. Sullivan said. "Unlike en listed members, officers do not receive other than honorable, or dishonorable, certificates of discharge. To the contrary, the rule is that no certificate will be awarded to an officer separated wherever the circumstances prompting separation are not deemed consonant with traditional naval concepts of honor. The absence of an honorable discharge certificate for a separated naval officer is, therefore, a harsh and severe sanction and is, in fact, the treatment given officers who are dismissed after a general court-martial."....

It is hard to see why Mr. Kerry had to file an "extremely late" application since he lost the congressional race in Lowell, Mass., the first week of November 1972 and was basically doing nothing until he entered law school the following September of 1973.A member of the Harvard Law School admissions committee recalled that the real reason Mr. Kerry was not admitted was because the committee was concerned that because Mr. Kerry had received a less than honorable discharge they were not sure he could be admitted to any state bar. [There's more in the Sun article, read the whole thing]

Ok, so I've had a few minutes to read the blog reaction to this. It looks like NZ Bear got the same tip that I did about the big revelation the Swifties were going to pop:
the information I received yesterday was that the story would go beyond circumstantial evidence, and have actual, on-the-record testimony from at least one senior military official with knowledge of Kerry's discharge.

That didn't happen. But if you read to the bottom of Sullivan's piece, you can see one potential reason why:

"All officials with knowledge of what specifically happened in Mr. Kerry's case are muzzled by the Privacy Act of 1974.The act makes it a crime for federal employees to knowingly disclose personal information or records."

Solid observation, but James Joyner remains very skeptical.

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The Terrorist Factory Fallacy

by Demosophist

It's a pretty gloomy Monday. The Redskins lost yesterday, the polls are ambiguous at best, a speech by Osama against Bush gets spun so that it helps Kerry, and logical fallacies repeated with mind-numbing frequency at a setting of 11 on the volume knob seem to count for valid argument. Beldar holds the theory that we're "creating terrorists" in about as much esteem as the theory that leaving the meat at room temperature will spontaneously generate maggots: more...

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It Just Ain't So

by Demosophist

Well, reading that little Mark Steyn piece helped (hat tip Gerard). I was pretty bummed, mostly by the apparent circumstance that the Osama speech, according polling guru Schneider, helped Kerry. So the aging Hamlet furrowed his brow, and stroking his razor-sharp chin decides that the thing to do after the man that orchestrated the murder of 3,000 Americans waggles his finger at the nation, is to take a freakin' poll! Just to test the waters with his toe lest he get a chill jumping in. And after "asking the audience" he decides that the way to play it is to hype the defeatism angle... like that's a new wrinkle for him. more...

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Kevin Aylward, Blog Pimp and Porn Dealer!!

What's worse: the guy who pimps the link free for all or the whore who links to him?

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